KOLAS CALCULATOR NCAA PRE-REGIONAL PROJECTIONS - MEN

NCAA Men's National Qualifiers
 (based on Kolas Calculator projections)

(Click HERE for Women's List.)

QUALIFIER #1 is IONA (#1 NE)

(PLACED TOP 2 AT REGIONALS)

QUALIFIER #1 is GEORGETOWN (#1 Md-At)

(PLACED TOP 2 AT REGIONALS)

QUALIFIER #1 is VIRGINIA (#1 SE)

(PLACED TOP 2 AT REGIONALS)

QUALIFIER #1 is WISONSIN (#1 Gr-Lk)

(PLACED TOP 2 AT REGIONALS)

QUALIFIER #1 is OK STATE (#1 Mid-W)

(PLACED TOP 2 AT REGIONALS)

QUALIFIER #1 is TEXAS AM (#1 S-Cen)

(PLACED TOP 2 AT REGIONALS)

QUALIFIER #1 is NORTHERN ARIZONA (#1 Mtn)

(PLACED TOP 2 AT REGIONALS)

QUALIFIER #1 is OREGON (#1 West)

(PLACED TOP 2 AT REGIONALS)

QUALIFIER #1 is ALABAMA (#1 South)

(PLACED TOP 2 AT REGIONALS)

QUALIFIER #1 is PROVIDENCE (#2 NE)

(PLACED TOP 2 AT REGIONALS)

QUALIFIER #1 is PRINCETON (#2 Md-At)

(PLACED TOP 2 AT REGIONALS)

QUALIFIER #1 is WILLIAM AND MARY (#2 SE)

(PLACED TOP 2 AT REGIONALS)

QUALIFIER #1 is MICHIGAN (#2 Gr-Lk)

(PLACED TOP 2 AT REGIONALS)

QUALIFIER #1 is MINNESOTA (#2 Mid-W)

(PLACED TOP 2 AT REGIONALS)

QUALIFIER #1 is ARKANSAS (#2 S-Cen)

(PLACED TOP 2 AT REGIONALS)

QUALIFIER #1 is COLORADO (#2 Mtn)

(PLACED TOP 2 AT REGIONALS)

QUALIFIER #1 is STANFORD (#2 West)

(PLACED TOP 2 AT REGIONALS)

QUALIFIER #1 is AUBURN (#2 South)

(PLACED TOP 2 AT REGIONALS)

At-Large Qualifiers

QUALIFIER #19 is FLORIDA STATE (#3 South)

(Entered on 6 wins)

Wins against qualified listed:

MINNESOTA (PRENATS BLUE)

WILLIAM AND MARY (PRENATS BLUE)

PROVIDENCE (PRENATS BLUE)

TEXAS AM (NOTRE DAME)

PROVIDENCE (NOTRE DAME)

PRINCETON (NOTRE DAME)

QUALIFIER #20 is BYU (#3 Mtn)

(Entered on 5 wins)

Wins against qualified listed:

MINNESOTA (ROY GRIAK )

AUBURN (ROY GRIAK )

AUBURN (PRENATS WHITE)

VIRGINIA (PRENATS WHITE)

COLORADO (PRENATS WHITE)

QUALIFIER #21 is TULSA (#3 Mid-W)

(Entered on 4 wins)

Wins against qualified listed:

COLORADO (PRENATS WHITE)

TEXAS AM (NOTRE DAME)

PROVIDENCE (NOTRE DAME)

PRINCETON (NOTRE DAME)

QUALIFIER #22 is IOWA STATE (#4 Mid-W)

(Entered on 4 wins)

Wins against qualified listed:

BYU (ROY GRIAK )

MINNESOTA (ROY GRIAK )

AUBURN (ROY GRIAK )

TEXAS AM (BIG 12 CHAMPS)

QUALIFIER #23 is NORTE DAME (#3 Gr-Lk)

(Entered on 2 wins)

*NORTE DAME wins head-to-head against VILLINOVA

Wins against qualified listed:

PRINCETON (NOTRE DAME)

PROVIDENCE (BIG EAST CHAMPS)

QUALIFIER #24 is INDIANA (#4 Gr-Lk)

(Entered on 2 wins)

*INDIANA wins head-to-head against VILLINOVA

*INDIANA wins head-to-head against NC STATE

*INDIANA wins head-to-head against BUTLER

*INDIANA wins head-to-head against FLORIDA

Wins against qualified listed:

COLORADO (PRENATS WHITE)

IOWA STATE (PRENATS WHITE)

QUALIFIER #25 is BUTLER (#5 Gr-Lk)

(Entered on 2 wins)

*BUTLER wins head-to-head against VILLINOVA

*BUTLER wins head-to-head against NC STATE

*BUTLER wins head-to-head against FLORIDA

*BUTLER wins common-opponent against NC STATE

Wins against qualified listed:

NORTE DAME (NOTRE DAME)

PRINCETON (NOTRE DAME)

QUALIFIER #26 is NC STATE (#3 SE)

(Entered on 3 wins)

*NC STATE wins head-to-head against VILLINOVA

*NC STATE wins head-to-head against FLORIDA

Wins against qualified listed:

NORTE DAME (PRENATS BLUE)

BUTLER (PRENATS BLUE)

FLORIDA STATE (ACC CHAMPS) 

QUALIFIER #27 is VILLINOVA (#3 Md-At)

(Entered on 2 wins)

*VILLINOVA wins head-to-head against FLORIDA

*VILLINOVA wins common-opponent against NC STATE

*VILLINOVA wins common-opponent against FLORIDA

Wins against qualified listed:

IONA (PAUL SHORT)

PROVIDENCE (BIG EAST CHAMPS)

QUALIFIER #28 is FLORIDA (#4 South)

(Entered on 2 wins)

*FLORIDA wins common-opponent against PENN STATE

Wins against qualified listed:

NORTE DAME (NOTRE DAME)

PRINCETON (NOTRE DAME)

QUALIFIER #29 is PENN STATE (#4 Md-At)

(Entered on 2 wins)

*PENN STATE wins common-opponent against FLORIDA

*PENN STATE wins common-opponent against PENN STATE

Wins against qualified listed:

VILLINOVA (PENN STATE NATIONALS)

INDIANA (BIG 10 CHAMPS)

QUALIFIER #30 is PORTLAND (#3 West)

(*Pushed in by CAL POLY)

(Entered on 2 wins)

Wins against qualified listed:

ALABAMA (BILL DELLINGER)

PENN STATE (BILL DELLINGER)

QUALIFIER #31 is CAL POLY (#4 West)

(Entered on 5 wins)

Wins against qualified listed:

PENN STATE (BILL DELLINGER)

PROVIDENCE (PRENATS BLUE)

NC STATE (PRENATS BLUE)

NORTE DAME (PRENATS BLUE)

BUTLER (PRENATS BLUE)

Teams Outside Looking In

QUALIFIER #32 is COLUMBIA (#3 NE)

(*Pushed in by SYRACUSE)

(Entered on 0 wins)

Wins against qualified listed:

NO WINS

QUALIFIER #32 is SYRACUSE (#4 NE)

(Entered on 2 wins)

Wins against qualified listed:

VILLINOVA (PAUL SHORT)

IONA (PAUL SHORT)

QUALIFIER #34 is WASHINGTON (#5 West)

(Entered on 1 wins)

Wins against qualified listed:

FLORIDA (PRENATS WHITE)

QUALIFIER #35 is CALIFORNIA (#6 West)

(Entered on 5 wins)

Wins against qualified listed:

ARKANSAS (STANFORD)

PROVIDENCE (PRENATS BLUE)

NC STATE (PRENATS BLUE)

NORTE DAME (PRENATS BLUE)

BUTLER (PRENATS BLUE)

QUALIFIER #36 is UCLA (#7 West)

(Entered on 8 wins)

Wins against qualified listed:

CAL POLY (BILL DELLINGER)

PENN STATE (BILL DELLINGER)

VIRGINIA (PRENATS WHITE)

TULSA (PRENATS WHITE)

INDIANA (PRENATS WHITE)

COLORADO (PRENATS WHITE)

IOWA STATE (PRENATS WHITE)

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#15	Confused   November 15, 2008 at 8:51pm I'm not just "An Uncertain Onlooker", I'm totally confused. I watched the post Regionals Board Talk video done today (11-15) by Mark and Ryan and decided that these kind of videos need to play in slow motion so all the inuendos can make an impression in my head. Maybe by the time Nationals come, it will all straghten out. reply
#14	An Uncertain Onlooker   November 15, 2008 at 7:21pm I'm confused. I looked through results, and I found that Columbia beat Penn State at the Spiked Shoe Invitational at the start of this year. Doesn't that mean, considering what we now know (that Penn State got second in their region) that Columbia should be credited with one win because of Penn State's success? reply
#13	Dude   November 14, 2008 at 2:49pm The Kolas Calculator is named after Brian Kolas - its inventor. reply
#12	Sunny   November 13, 2008 at 5:00pm Great stuff - please figure out the lighting. Just closing the blinds might do it reply
#11	Andy Wright   November 13, 2008 at 1:59pm Thanks a lot for the explanation! That was really clear and helpful. It's kind of an interesting rule, but I do agree with you that it should possibly be changed. Obviously no system is perfect. I remember a couple years ago when Cal Poly blew up at regionals and got 9th. They ended up pushing in Washington State and making it to Nationals, while UTEP (nationally ranked 4th at the time) got 3rd in the Mountain region behind Colorado and BYU?, and didn't get to go to Nationals because of their weak schedule. reply
#10	K Shack   November 13, 2008 at 2:41am Responding to what Andy was asking about, why Cal Poly wouldn't drag Portland, is because there is a rule that if a team can eventually get in on their own in the process, then they don't get pushed. By playing out the scenario that Portland doesn't get pushed here, Penn State gets Portland the second point that they need to get themselves into the meet on their own merit. The irony here is that just by showing up and losing to Portland (and everyone else in the meet, for that matter), Penn State gets themselves into the meet. If Portland doesn't have that win against Penn State, they can't get in on their own merit and have to get pushed early on, thus pouring in all the (more deserving) teams from the West and the process never makes it to Penn State. The same thing happened with Ohio State last year. Cal Poly could have been pushed in, but when you play out the scenario that they don't get pushed in, Ohio State gets in, thus giving them the point (from Dellinger) that they need to get in on their own. If you play out the scenario that they don't get pushed, Ohio State gets blocked. Therefore, if Ohio State beats Cal Poly, they don't get in. It's a horrible rule. The rule should be that if a team can get pushed or get in on their own later in the process, the push should still happen if that team getting in on their own prevents other teams from its respective region from getting in ahead of teams they have beaten head-to-head and/or have more points. In this case, Great Lakes teams get in ahead of West teams with more points, as well as head-to-head victories against those Great Lakes teams, just because of a lag in the West region caused by this stupid rule. reply
#9	Utahn   November 12, 2008 at 12:14pm Why did you choose Colorado as the 2nd place team out of the Mountain Region?? What happens to them if they get third? Also, does UTEP have any chance w/o getting an auto spot? reply
#8	Brett   November 12, 2008 at 10:33am If Michigan runs 4 of the guys that they ran at ND at Regionals -- wouldnt that give Florida, Butler, Tulsa, Florida State, ND an additional point? If so, does that change things? They ran Fellows, Xmas, April, Seth T, Dobmeier, Nalli and McNamara. reply
#7	Andy Wright   November 11, 2008 at 7:13pm Another thing: From PreNats in the White Race, UCLA beat both Indiana and Mich. State from the GL Region. In the Blue Race, Cal and Cal Poly both beat Notre Dame and Butler. It's obvious from that race that the West teams out of the top 2 are better than the Great Lakes teams out of the top 2. To have 5 teams from the GL in before the West's 3rd, and only 4 West teams total, shows how crazy the system can be. reply
#6	Andy Wright   November 11, 2008 at 6:57pm I'm a little confused on why Cal Poly wouldn't push in Portland much earlier in the rankings. When Butler gets in at #25, they get in with 2 points (Notre Dame, Princeton); Cal Poly would have 2 points also by then (Notre Dame, Providence,) AND they beat Butler at PreNats Blue Race. Same goes for the next pick NC State with 3 points to CP's 3 points, with CP beating NC State at PreNats. In fact, 3 Teams get in before Cal Poly with equal or less points that have lost to Cal Poly this year. It isn't until Penn State get's in, to give CP 5 points that they "push" Portland in. Maybe I don't understand the system very well or something. Any clarification would be fantastic though! reply
#5	Anonymous Coward   November 10, 2008 at 11:01pm Great stuff guys! Keep up the good work! reply
#4	John Petricevic   November 10, 2008 at 7:39pm whoever has the camera is breathing hardcore!! annoying as hell.. otherwise cool info! reply
#3	Midwest Marvel   November 10, 2008 at 6:09pm There is a mistake because at Pre-Nats in the Blue race NC State beat Butler. So if they both have 2 wins then NC State should be going in before Butler. I don't think it changes anything but the order those two teams enter the meet. I could be wrong though. Great coverage, but I know from experience that the Kolas calculator isn't necessarily 100% accurate. By the way, anyone know where the Kolas calculator gets its name? reply
#2	Terminator X   November 10, 2008 at 5:26pm Ultimately not sure it makes a difference or not, but it appears you have Butler and NC State racing each other twice, each winning once and then Butler winning on common opponents. I'm not finding where Butler beat NC State head-to-head, though it's possible I just missed it. Again, I looked at it some more and don't think it makes a difference, just pointing it out. reply
#1	Terminator X   November 10, 2008 at 5:00pm Confusion on Butler/NC State. Initially stated that NC State gets their third point by beating Butler, but then immediately afterwards was stated that the reason Butler gets in before them (when both tied with 2 wins) is that Butler wins in head-to-head competition. Don't know if that was a verbal slip-up or what, but that probably needs to be addressed/clarified. reply