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You want to know who will win the women’s NCAA team title? (Men's Release)

 

We’ll tell you right now!

 

The Process:

- Ranked the top 8 athlete’s PBs (indoors/outdoors combined)
- Ignored wind-aided marks
- Included converted mile marks
- Included marks done unattached, out of season, or for another school/high school/club
- For relays used best 2015 team mark
- 'The Elite Distance Runner New To Event Excemption'

 

Before You Cry Wolf:

Of course the results of the 2015 championships will not be the exact order of all the athlete’s PBs. Some events athletes will over achieve and in other events the athletes will under achieve. The purpose of using PBs is to find an average to work off of that will result in seeing the true potential of each team’s scoring depth. This process is all about discovering the teams with the best scoring potential, it is not about predicting the outcome of specific races.

 

Why not just score the meet using 2015 marks?

Elite athletes are notorious for running the regular season just to qualify. Most of the time we never see athletes show their true potential until championship meets.

New To Event Excemption:

This is to account for the eye test on elite distance runners who have yet to go "all out" in their event ever. This eye test is focused on athletes on contending teams afterall, this is about predicting team points not individual all-americans. Last year this applied to Trevor Dunbar (Oregon) in the 10K. This year this applies to Eric Jenkins (Oregon) in the 10K, Edward Cheserek (Oregon) in the 10K, Dominique Scott (Arkansas) in the 5K and Waverly Neer (Oregon) in the 10K.
 

NOTE: This process was used during the past three track seasons and has yielded sucessful results.

 

Women’s Top 10 Projected Team Scores (Pre-Meet):

01) 60.5 Florida
02) 49.0 Oregon
03) 45.0 Kentucky
04) 44.5 Arkansas
05) 43.5 Texas A&M
06) 41.0 Texas
07) 40.5 Georgia
08) 31.0 USC
09) 21.5 Kansas State
10) 18.0 LSU

Again reminder these are not our predictions for individual events just a tool to calculate a team score projection.

EVENT	PTS	PB	ATHLETE	YR	SCHOOL
100	10	10.92	Jenna Prandini	JR	Oregon
100	8	11.04	Morolake Akinosun	JR	Texas
100	6	11.09	Cierra White	SR	Texas Tech
100	5	11.12	Jasmine Todd	SO	Oregon
100	4	11.14	Dezerea Bryant	SR	Kentucky
100	3	11.17	Ashton Purvis	SR	Texas A&M
100	2	11.20	Shayla Sanders	SO	Florida
100	0.5	11.23	Katie Wise	JR	Indiana State
100	0.5	11.23	Jennifer Madu	JR	Texas A&M
EVENT	PTS	PB	ATHLETE	YR	SCHOOL
200	10	22.26	Kyra Jefferson	SO	Florida
200	8	22.42	Jenna Prandini	JR	Oregon
200	6	22.45	Dezerea Bryant	SR	Kentucky
200	5	22.50	Kamaria Brown	SR	Texas A&M
200	4	22.68	Chioma Agwunobi	SR	Western Kentucky
200	3	22.68	Morolake Akinosun	JR	Texas
200	2	22.70	Ashton Purvis	SR	Texas A&M
200	1	22.76	Felicia Brown	JR	Tennessee
EVENT	PTS	PB	ATHLETE	YR	SCHOOL
400	10	50.28	Ashley Spencer	SR	Texas
400	8	50.46	Kendall Baisden	SO	Texas
400	6	50.84	Shakima Wimbley	SO	Miami
400	5	51.09	Kala Funderburk	JR	Florida State
400	4	51.18	Taylor Ellis-Watson	JR	Arkansas
400	3	51.36	Robin Reynolds	JR	Florida
400	1.5	51.37	Margaret Bamgbose	JR	Notre Dame
400	1.5	51.37	Daye Shon Roberson	SO	Oklahoma
EVENT	PTS	PB	ATHLETE	YR	SCHOOL
800	10	1:59.93	Natoya Goule	SR	Clemson
800	8	2:01.61	Chrishuna Williams	SR	Arkansas
800	6	2:01.67	Raevyn Rogers	FR	Oregon
800	5	2:01.72	Hanna Green	SO	Virginia Tech
800	4	2:01.79	Claudia Saunders	JR	Stanford
800	3	2:02.14	Cecilia Barowski	JR	Princeton
800	2	2:02.26	Olicia Williams	JR	Baylor
800	1	2:02.63	Kaela Edwards	SO	Oklahoma State
EVENT	PTS	PB	ATHLETE	YR	SCHOOL
1500	10	4:09.04	Shelby Houlihan	SR	Arizona State
1500	8	4:09.51	Natalja Piliusina	SR	Oklahoma State
1500	5.5	4:10.95	Rhianwedd Price	SO	Mississippi State
1500	5.5	4:10.95	Elise Cranny	FR	Stanford
1500	4	4:11.85	Rosie Clarke	JR	Iona
1500	3	4:13.01	Katrina Coogan	JR	Georgetown
1500	2	4:13.16	Lianne Farber	SR	North Carolina
1500	1	4:13.17	Marta Freitas	JR	Mississippi State
EVENT	PTS	PB	ATHLETE	YR	SCHOOL
5000	10	15:12.22	Emily Sisson	SR	Providence
5000	8	15:18.85	Jessica Tonn	SR	Stanford
5000	6	15:25.63	Kate Avery	JR	Iona
5000	5	15:26.08	Erin Finn	SO	Michigan
5000	4	15:32.55	Dominique Scott*	JR	Arkansas
5000	3	15:31.62	Liv Westphal	JR	Boston College
5000	2	15:32.46	Emma Bates	SR	Boise State
5000	1	15:36.33	Rachele Schulist	SO	Michigan State
EVENT	PTS	PB	ATHLETE	YR	SCHOOL
10000	10	32:11.60	Dominique Scott	JR	Arkansas
10000	8	32:13.28	Emma Bates	SR	Boise State
10000	6	32:28.39	Chelsea Blaase	SO	Tennessee
10000	5	32:29.89	Margo Malone	JR	Syracuse
10000	4	32:40.22	Elvin Kibet	SR	Arizona
10000	3	32:41.55	Emily Stites	JR	William and Mary
10000	2	34:03.59	Waverly Neer*	SR	Oregon
10000	1	32:56.33	Alice Wright	FR	New Mexico
EVENT	PTS	PB	ATHLETE	YR	SCHOOL
100H	10	12.50	Kendra Harrison	SR	Kentucky
100H	8	12.71	Bridgette Owens	SR	Florida
100H	6	12.81	Cindy Ofili	JR	Michigan
100H	5	12.88	Morgan Snow	SR	Texas
100H	4	12.89	Dior Hall	FR	USC
100H	3	12.93	Le'Tristan Pledger	JR	Texas Tech
100H	2	12.97	Jade Barber	SR	Notre Dame
100H	1	12.99	Erica Bougard	JR	Mississippi State
EVENT	PTS	PB	ATHLETE	YR	SCHOOL
400H	10	54.68	Shamier Little	SO	Texas A&M
400H	8	54.76	Kendra Harrison	SR	Kentucky
400H	6	55.71	Leah Nugent	SR	Kentucky
400H	5	55.83	Jaide Stepter	JR	USC
400H	4	55.92	Amalie Iuel	SO	USC
400H	3	56.22	Jade Miller	SO	Harvard
400H	2	56.27	Chanice Chase	JR	LSU
400H	1	56.38	Samantha Elliott	SR	Clemson
EVENT	PTS	PB	ATHLETE	YR	SCHOOL
3K Steeple	10	9:32.12	Courtney Frerichs	JR	UMKC
3K Steeple	8	9:33.63	Colleen Quigley	JR	Florida State
3K Steeple	6	9:35.33	Leah O'Connor	SR	Michigan State
3K Steeple	5	9:41.56	Rachel Johnson	SR	Baylor
3K Steeple	4	9:43.82	Marisa Howard	SR	Boise State
3K Steeple	3	9:43.83	Erin Teschuk	JR	North Dakota State
3K Steeple	2	9:48.89	Ingeborg Loevnes	JR	Oklahoma State
3K Steeple	1	9:49.25	Jessica Kamilos	JR	Arkansas
EVENT	PTS	PB	ATHLETE	YR	SCHOOL
4x1	10	42.61	-	-	Texas A&M
4x1	8	42.72	-	-	Florida
4x1	6	42.80	-	-	LSU
4x1	5	42.85	-	-	Kentucky
4x1	4	43.10	-	-	USC
4x1	3	43.31	-	-	Oregon
4x1	2	43.41	-	-	Texas
4x1	1	43.60	-	-	Alabama
EVENT	PTS	PB	ATHLETE	YR	SCHOOL
4x4	10	3:27.84	-	-	Florida
4x4	8	3:27.86	-	-	USC
4x4	6	3:28.37	-	-	Ohio State
4x4	5	3:28.48	-	-	Texas
4x4	4	3:28.59	-	-	Clemson
4x4	3	3:28.70	-	-	Arkansas
4x4	2	3:29.85	-	-	Florida State
4x4	1	3:30.22	-	-	Miami
EVENT	PTS	PB	ATHLETE	YR	SCHOOL
HJ	10	1.96m	Jeannelle Scheper	SR	South Carolina
HJ	8	1.93m	Leontia Kallenou	SO	Georgia
HJ	6	1.90m	Claudia Garcia Jou	JR	Akron
HJ	5	1.89m	Alyx Treasure	SR	Kansas State
HJ	4	1.88m	Kimberly Williamson	JR	Kansas State
HJ	1.5	1.87m	Taylor Burke	SR	Florida
HJ	1.5	1.87m	Tatiana Gusin	SO	Georgia
HJ	1.5	1.87m	Akela Jones	JR	Kansas State
HJ	1.5	1.87m	Dior Delophont	JR	Kent State
EVENT	PTS	PB	ATHLETE	YR	SCHOOL
PV	10	4.75m	Demi Payne	JR	Stephen F. Austin
PV	8	4.72m	Sandi Morris	SR	Arkansas
PV	5.5	4.50m	Megan Clark	JR	Duke
PV	5.5	4.50m	Carolina Carmichael	SR	Memphis
PV	3.5	4.45m	Desiree Freier	FR	Arkansas
PV	3.5	4.45m	Stephanie Richartz	SR	Illinois
PV	2	4.41m	Alysha Newman	JR	Miami
PV	1	4.40m	Caroline Hasse	JR	Akron
EVENT	PTS	PB	ATHLETE	YR	SCHOOL
LJ	10	6.84m	Quanesha Burks	SO	Alabama
LJ	8	6.65m	Jenna Prandini	JR	Oregon
LJ	6	6.63m	Keturah Orji	FR	Georgia
LJ	5	6.58m	Chanice Porter	JR	Georgia
LJ	4	6.55m	Sha'Keela Saunders	SO	Kentucky
LJ	3	6.50m	Jasmine Todd	SO	Oregon
LJ	2	6.49m	Kenyattia Hackworth	SR	Kentucky
LJ	1	6.48m	Sydney Conley	JR	Kansas
EVENT	PTS	PB	ATHLETE	YR	SCHOOL
TJ	10	14.01m	Ciarra Brewer	SR	Florida
TJ	8	13.98m	Keturah Orji	FR	Georgia
TJ	6	13.64m	Allie Saunders	SR	Texas State
TJ	5	13.60m	Marshay Ryan	SO	Auburn
TJ	4	13.56m	Tori Franklin	SR	Michigan State
TJ	3	13.44m	Ellie Ewere	SR	Nebraska
TJ	2	13.43m	Paetyn Revell	SO	Texas Tech
TJ	1	13.36m	Nataliyah Friar	SO	LSU
EVENT	PTS	PB	ATHLETE	YR	SCHOOL
SP	10	18.62m	Raven Saunders	FR	Southern Illinois
SP	8	18.49m	Tori Bliss	SR	LSU
SP	6	18.15m	Christina Hillman	JR	Iowa State
SP	5	17.77m	Kelsey Card	JR	Wisconsin
SP	4	17.75m	Dani Winters	JR	Kansas State
SP	3	17.72m	Jill Rushin	SR	Missouri
SP	2	17.71m	Danniel Thomas	JR	Kent State
SP	1	17.60m	Tremanisha Taylor	SR	North Carolina State
EVENT	PTS	PB	ATHLETE	YR	SCHOOL
DT	10	64.52m	Shelbi Vaughan	JR	Texas A&M
DT	8	59.92m	Kiah Hicks	SR	Colorado State
DT	6	59.91m	Kelsey Card	JR	Wisconsin
DT	5	59.12m	Tera Novy	JR	USC
DT	4	59.06m	Katelyn Daniels	FR	Michigan State
DT	3	58.74m	Alexis Cooks	SR	Akron
DT	2	58.50m	Samantha Hall	JR	UTEP
DT	1	57.82m	Alexandra Collatz	SR	USC
EVENT	PTS	PB	ATHLETE	YR	SCHOOL
HT	10	70.28m	Julia Ratcliffe	JR	Princeton
HT	8	69.72m	Brooke Pleger	SR	Bowling Green
HT	6	69.01m	Daina Levy	JR	Kansas
HT	5	67.72m	DeAnna Price	JR	Southern Illinois
HT	4	67.43m	Jillian Weir	SR	Oregon
HT	3	66.41m	Sara Savatovic	JR	Kansas State
HT	2	66.17m	Kearsten Peoples	SR	Missouri
HT	1	66.08m	Kayla Kovar	SR	Southern Utah
EVENT	PTS	PB	ATHLETE	YR	SCHOOL
JT	10	58.66m	Irena Sediva	SO	Virginia Tech
JT	8	58.13m	Fawn Miller	SR	Florida
JT	6	57.77m	Elizabeth Herrs	JR	Oklahoma
JT	5	56.56m	Hannah Carson	JR	Texas Tech
JT	4	56.15m	Sarah Firestone	SO	Nebraska
JT	3	55.37m	Maggie Malone	JR	Texas A&M
JT	2	55.36m	Freya Jones	JR	Georgia
JT	1	54.85m	Rebekah Wales	SO	LSU
EVENT	PTS	PB	ATHLETE	YR	SCHOOL
HEP	10	6250	Erica Bougard	JR	Mississippi State
HEP	8	6146	Quintunya Chapman	SR	Georgia
HEP	6	6086	Lindsay Vollmer	SR	Kansas
HEP	5	6057	Xenia Rahn	SR	North Carolina
HEP	4	6049	Akela Jones	JR	Kansas State
HEP	3	6027	Alex Gochenour	JR	Arkansas
HEP	2	6018	Kendell Williams	SO	Georgia
HEP	1	6014	Jess Herauf	JR	Minnesota