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You want to know who will win the women’s NCAA team title? (Men's Release)

 

We’ll tell you right now!

 

The Process:
- Ranked the top 8 athlete’s PBs (indoors/outdoors combined)
- Converted all altitude marks
- Converted indoor flat track marks
- Ignored wind-aided marks
- Included marks done unattached, out of season, or for another school/high school/club
- For 4x4 relays used best 2015 team mark

- For DMRs projected the anchor leg each team will enter and ranked the team’s based on the anchor’s 1500/mile PB
 

Before You Cry Wolf:
Of course the results of the 2015 championships will not be the exact order of all the athlete’s PBs. Some events athletes will over achieve and in other events the athletes will under achieve. The purpose of using PBs is to find an average to work off of that will result in seeing the true potential of each team’s scoring depth. This exercise is all about discovering the teams with the best scoring potential, it is not about predicting the outcome of specific races.

 

Why not just score the meet using 2015 marks?

Elite athletes are notorious for running the regular season just to qualify. Most of the time we never see athletes show their true potential until championship meets. For example, Oregon’s Edward Cheserek ran 7:49 in the 3k early this season. Since running the 3k 5 people have run faster than him. However, there is no need for Cheserek to re-run the 3k just to be ranked higher. For athletes, a time that is 1st or 16th is the same. 2015 marks don’t do a good job of representing athlete’s true potential.

 

NOTE: This process was used during the 2014 indoor/outdoor championship team projections and was very successful.

 

Women’s Top 10 Projected Team Scores (Pre-Meet):
01) 51.5 Texas
02) 50.5 Arkansas
03) 47.5 Georgia
04) 39.0 Florida
05) 38.0 Texas A&M
06) 37.0 Kentucky
07) 27.5 Kansas State
08) 26.5 Oregon
09) 24.0 Michigan State
10) 21.0 Missouri

Again reminder these are not our predictions for individual events just a tool to calculate a team score projection.

60	Remona Burchell	SR	Alabama	7.08	10.00
60	Dezerea Bryant	SR	Kentucky	7.14	8.00
60	Jasmine Todd	SO	Oregon	7.15	6.00
60	Ky Westbrook	FR	USC	7.18	5.00
60	Jenna Prandini	JR	Oregon	7.19	4.00
60	Shayla Sanders	JR	Florida	7.20	3.00
60	Morolake Akinosun	JR	Texas	7.21	2.00
60	Tynia Gaither	SR	USC	7.23	1.00

200	Olivia Ekponé	SR	Texas A&M	22.23	10.00
200	Kamaria Brown	SR	Texas A&M	22.50	8.00
200	Jenna Prandini	JR	Oregon	22.60	6.00
200	Dezerea Bryant	SR	Kentucky	22.68	4.50
200	Morolake Akinosun	JR	Texas	22.68	4.50
200	Ashton Purvis	SR	Texas A&M	22.70	3.00
200	Kyra Jefferson	JR	Florida	22.78	2.00
200	Tynia Gaither	SR	USC	22.88	1.00

400	Courtney Okolo	JR	Texas	50.03	10.00
400	Ashley Spencer	SR	Texas	50.28	8.00
400	Kendall Baisden	SO	Texas	50.46	6.00
400	Shamier Little	SO	Texas A&M	51.06	5.00
400	Robin Reynolds	JR	Florida	51.36	4.00
400	Shakima Wimbley	SO	Miami	51.68	3.00
400	Taylor Ellis-Watson	JR	Arkansas	51.72	1.00
400	Margaret Bamgbose	JR	Notre Dame	51.72	1.00
400	Kiara Porter	SR	VCU	51.72	1.00

800	Natoya Goule	SR	Clemson	1:59.93	10.00
800	Chrishuna Williams	SR	Arkansas	2:02.95	8.00
800	Olicia Williams	JR	Baylor	2:03.21	6.00
800	Hanna Green	SO	Virginia Tech	2:03.43	5.00
800	Sabrina Southerland	SO	Georgetown	2:03.59	4.00
800	Kaela Edwards	SO	Oklahoma State	2:03.70	3.00
800	Ce'aira Brown	JR	Hampton	2:03.76	2.00
800	Elizabeth Whelan	JR	North Carolina	2:03.85	1.00

1609	Colleen Quigley	SR	Florida State	4:29.67	10.00
1609	Shelby Houlihan	SR	Arizona State	4:30.71	8.00
1609	Rosie Clarke	JR	Iona	4:31.78	6.00
1609	Erin Teschuk	JR	North Dakota St	4:32.09	5.00
1609	Leah O'Connor	SR	Michigan State	4:32.29	4.00
1609	Rhianwedd Price	SO	Miss State	4:32.74	3.00
1609	Sammy Silva	SR	New Mexico	4:33.48	2.00
1609	Angel Piccirillo	JR	Villanova	4:34.28	1.00

3000	Dominique Scott	SR	Arkansas	8:52.57	10.00
3000	Emily Sisson	SR	Providence	8:52.60	8.00
3000	Rachele Schulist	SO	Michigan State	9:01.25	6.00
3000	Elise Cranny	FR	Stanford	9:02.36	5.00
3000	Erin Teschuk	JR	North Dakota St	9:02.40	4.00
3000	Katrina Coogan	JR	Georgetown	9:02.75	3.00
3000	Shelby Houlihan	SR	Arizona State	9:03.71	2.00
3000	Jessica Tonn	SR	Stanford	9:04.93	1.00

5000	Emily Sisson	SR	Providence	15:12.22	10.00
5000	Sarah Disanza	FR	Wisconsin	15:20.57	8.00
5000	Liv Westphal	JR	Boston College	15:31.62	6.00
5000	Rachel Johnson	SR	Baylor	15:39.42	5.00
5000	Emily Stites	JR	William and	15:43.69	4.00
5000	Mara Olson	SR	Butler	15:47.14	3.00
5000	Diane Robison	SR	Arkansas	15:47.62	2.00
5000	Courtney Frerichs	SR	UMKC	15:48.12	1.00

4x4	-	-	Texas	3:29.36	10.00
4x4	-	-	Florida	3:29.58	8.00
4x4	-	-	Arkansas	3:30.50	6.00
4x4	-	-	Kentucky	3:31.43	5.00
4x4	-	-	Texas A&M	3:32.84	4.00
4x4	-	-	Clemson	3:32.87	3.00
4x4	-	-	USC	3:33.58	2.00
4x4	-	-	Duke	3:34.00	1.00

60H	Kendra Harrison	SR	Kentucky	7.92	10.00
60H	Bridgette Owens	SR	Florida	7.95	8.00
60H	Erica Bougard	SR	Miss State	8.03	6.00
60H	Morgan Snow	SR	Texas	8.07	5.00
60H	Cindy Ofili	JR	Michigan	8.08	4.00
60H	Le'Tristan Pledger	JR	Texas Tech	8.09	2.50
60H	Dior Hall	FR	USC	8.09	2.50
60H	Sasha Wallace	SO	Oregon	8.10	1.00

DMR	Elise Cranny	-	Stanford	4:30.78	10.00
DMR	Leah O'Connor	-	Michigan State	4:32.29	8.00
DMR	Dominique Scott	-	Arkansas	4:32.48	6.00
DMR	Katrina Coogan	-	Georgetown	4:33.00	5.00
DMR	Georgia Peel	-	Florida State	4:34.50	4.00
DMR	Brook Handler	-	Michigan	4:35.66	3.00
DMR	Stephanie Schappert	-	Villanova	4:36.31	2.00
DMR	Danielle Aragon	-	Notre Dame	4:37.68	1.00

HJ	Leontia Kallenou	SO	Georgia	1.92m	10.00
HJ	Alyx Treasure	SR	Kansas State	1.89m	8.00
HJ	Claudia Garcia Jou	SR	Akron	1.88m	5.50
HJ	Kimberly Williamson	SO	Kansas State	1.88m	5.50
HJ	Deandra Daniel	JR	Coppin State	1.87m	2.00
HJ	Taylor Burke	SR	Florida	1.87m	2.00
HJ	Tatiana Gusin	SO	Georgia	1.87m	2.00
HJ	Akela Jones	JR	Kansas State	1.87m	2.00
HJ	Dior Delophont	JR	Kent State	1.87m	2.00

LJ	Akela Jones	JR	Kansas State	6.64m	10.00
LJ	Chanice Porter	JR	Georgia	6.58m	8.00
LJ	Sha'Keela Saunders	SO	Kentucky	6.55m	5.50
LJ	Jenna Prandini	JR	Oregon	6.55m	5.50
LJ	Jasmine Todd	SO	Oregon	6.50m	4.00
LJ	Kenyattia Hackworth	SR	Kentucky	6.49m	3.00
LJ	Keturah Orji	FR	Georgia	6.45m	1.50
LJ	Alexis Perry	JR	NC State	6.45m	1.50

PEN	Kendell Williams	SO	Georgia	4635	10.00
PEN	Erica Bougard	SR	Miss State	4586	8.00
PEN	Lindsay Vollmer	SR	Kansas	4404	6.00
PEN	Jess Herauf	JR	Minnesota	4361	5.00
PEN	Brittany Harrell	SR	Florida	4287	4.00
PEN	Xenia Rahn	JR	North Carolina	4273	3.00
PEN	Alex Gochenour	JR	Arkansas	4259	2.00
PEN	Quintunya Chapman	SR	Georgia	4257	1.00

PV	Demi Payne	SR	Steph F. Austin	4.75m	10.00
PV	Sandi Morris	SR	Arkansas	4.66m	8.00
PV	Kaitlin Petrillose	JR	Texas	4.60m	6.00
PV	Morgann Leleux	JR	Georgia	4.50m	5.00
PV	Desiree Freier	FR	Arkansas	4.45m	3.50
PV	Megan Clark	JR	Duke	4.45m	3.50
PV	Stephanie Richartz	SR	Illinois	4.39m	2.00
PV	Sophie Gutermuth	SR	Indiana	4.34m	1.00

SP	Tori Bliss	SR	LSU	18.31m	10.00
SP	Kearsten Peoples	SR	Missouri	18.22m	8.00
SP	Raven Saunders	FR	So. Illinois	17.99m	6.00
SP	Claire Uke	SR	Rice	17.95m	5.00
SP	Danniel Thomas	JR	Kent State	17.71m	4.00
SP	Jill Rushin	SR	Missouri	17.62m	3.00
SP	Dani Winters	JR	Kansas State	17.45m	2.00
SP	Kelsey Card	JR	Wisconsin	17.37m	1.00

TJ	Keturah Orji	FR	Georgia	13.98m	10.00
TJ	Ciarra Brewer	SR	Florida	13.91m	8.00
TJ	Tori Franklin	SR	Michigan State	13.56m	6.00
TJ	Ellie Ewere	SR	Nebraska	13.44m	5.00
TJ	Tamara Myers	SR	Arkansas	13.40m	4.00
TJ	Nadia Eke	SR	Columbia	13.32m	3.00
TJ	Thea LaFond	SR	Maryland	13.27m	2.00
TJ	Simone Charley	SO	Vanderbilt	13.24m	1.00

WT	Kearsten Peoples	SR	Missouri	22.84m	10.00
WT	Brea Garrett	SR	Texas A&M	22.66m	8.00
WT	Ida Storm	SR	UCLA	22.40m	6.00
WT	Brittany Funk	SR	Akron	21.86m	5.00
WT	Kelsey Card	JR	Wisconsin	21.82m	4.00
WT	Alexis Cooks	JR	Akron	21.68m	3.00
WT	DeAnna Price	SR	So. Illinois	21.64m	2.00
WT	Beckie Famurewa	JR	Kentucky	21.61m	1.00