Here's How Adams State, North Central & Others Would Fare At The DI Level

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One of the biggest ‘what ifs’ in NCAA cross country is how the best Division II and III programs would perform in a Division I championship race, so we decided to conduct a little experiment using our limited reference data points based on 2018 season results.

For DII, we compared the defending national champion Adams State men’s and women’s 2018 Stanford Invitational results versus DI athletes who competed at that meet and this year’s NCAA DI Championships. And for DIII, we compared the North Central (Ill.) men’s performances at the 2018 Louisville Classic and the Washington U. women’s performances at the 2018 Loyola Lakefront Invitational.

Note: For comparing results, we generated a rating for the DII/DIII athletes based on their performances against the DI athletes. This rating was similar to the rating formula for our regular season Top-255 rankings.

2018 Louisville Classic DI Men vs. North Central (Ill.)

Ben Varghese (East Tenn. St.), Ben Kendell (Detroit Mercy), Jacob McLeod (Belmont), Aaron Bienenfeld (Cincinnati), Kaleb McLeod (Belmont), Antonie Senard (Eastern Kentucky)

2018 Stanford Invitational DI Men vs. Adams State

Alek Parsons (Stanford), Alex Ostberg (Stanford), D.J. Principe (Stanford), Tai Dinger (Stanford), Meika Beaudoin-Rousseau (Stanford), Michael Vernau (Stanford)

2018 Stanford Invitational DI Women vs. Adams State

Elise Cranny (Stanford), Katie Rainsberger (Washington), Fiona O’Keeffe (Stanford), Jessica Lawson (Stanford), Erika Adler (UCLA), Miranda Daschian (Cal Poly), Emily Hamlin (Washington), Allie Schadler (Washington), Rebecca Story (Stanford), Katie Izzo (Cal Poly), Jordan Oakes (Stanford), Julia Heymach (Stanford), Catherine Pagano (Stanford), Shona McCulloch (Washington)

2018 Loyola Lakefront Invitational DI Women vs. Washington U.

Gillian Wagner (Princeton), Addi Zerrenner (Arizona), Lindsey Brewis (Loyola Ill.), Melia Chittenden (Princeton), Allie Klimkiewicz (Princeton), Alie Fordyce (Princeton), Madison Offstein (Princeton), Sophie Cantine (Princeton)

After removing the bottom two DI teams from the 2018 results and adding the No. 1-ranked DII team and the 2018 DIII champions, here's how the results played out based on our rating formula.

Reminder: This is based off the DII/DIII team’s September performances, so athletes on these teams who did better in November are not accounted for since they had no reference points for those performances.

Men’s Championship Virtual Result:

TEAM SCOREATHLETEYRSCHOOL
27Gidabuday, SydneySRAdams State
54Gedyon, EliasSRAdams State
86Villar, MiguelFRAdams State
113Joseph, JoshuaJRAdams State
128Adams, KaleJRAdams State
165Dominguez, DannyJRAdams State
169Robb, PaddySOAdams State
116Patel, DhruvilSRNorth Central (Ill.)
170Norvell, MatthewSRNorth Central (Ill.)
177Osmulski, MattJRNorth Central (Ill.)
182Baldonado, AlSRNorth Central (Ill.)
186McKenna, NolanSRNorth Central (Ill.)
191Hird, ZachSRNorth Central (Ill.)
192Buechner, ChrisSRNorth Central (Ill.)
PLTEAMSCORE
1Northern Arizona83
2BYU118
3Portland162
4Colorado183
5Stanford205
6Washington219
7Iowa State226
8Wisconsin248
9Colorado St.315
10Boise State350
11North Carolina St.351
12Wyoming382
13Oklahoma State385
14Adams State408
15Notre Dame414
16Oregon419
17Eastern Kentucky444
18Ole Miss446
19Indiana477
20Michigan496
21Air Force511
22Southern Utah537
23Princeton570
24Villanova595
25Bradley598
26Arkansas617
27Syracuse617
28Texas645
29Iona651
30Purdue719
31North Central (Ill.)831

Women’s Championship Virtual Result:

TEAM SCOREATHLETEYRSCHOOL
31Flanagan, EilishJRAdams State
57Cotter, StephanieFRAdams State
77Bogina, KayleeJRAdams State
79Flanagan, RoisinJRAdams State
128Meuwissen, PiperFRAdams State
145Hunter-Galvan, HaLeighJRAdams State
165Christensen, TiffanyJRAdams State
101Lawler, PaigeJRWashington U.
149Wayne, AlySRWashington U.
191Watterson, SophieJRWashington U.
198McGinn, GabbyFRWashington U.
205Gorham, LisaSRWashington U.
209Girmscheid, MeganSOWashington U.
213Shepherd, MollySRWashington U.
PLTEAMSCORE
1Colorado65
2New Mexico105
3Oregon163
4Michigan218
5Stanford241
6Boise State299
7BYU321
8Notre Dame322
9Washington332
10Wisconsin339
11Portland351
12Michigan State352
13Adams State372
14North Carolina St.377
15Arkansas411
16Iowa State414
17Florida471
18Indiana472
19Columbia485
20Oklahoma State499
21Penn State501
22Princeton506
23Ole Miss526
24Furman534
25Villanova568
26Southern Utah585
27Florida State598
28Oregon State616
29Georgia Tech672
30Minnesota681
31Washington U.844

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