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2026 New York City Marathon

FloTrack Staff New York City Marathon Predictions, Top American, Top Debutant, And More

FloTrack Staff New York City Marathon Predictions, Top American, Top Debutant, And More

From athletes with previous success on the course to American stars, the NYC Marathon’s packed elite fields sets the stage for breakout performances.

Oct 30, 2026 by Mathias Cubillan
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Top American Contender Zouhair Talbi Prepares for the New York City Marathon | Pre-Race Interview5:56

With the 2026 New York City Marathon set to start on Sunday, Nov. 1, the FloTrack team is ready to share its staff predictions for what is sure to be an electric event.

From athletes with previous success on the course to American stars and high-profile debutants, the NYC Marathon’s packed elite fields sets the stage for breakout performances.

Here's who the FloTrack staff predicts will make headlines in The Big Apple.

Who Will Be The Men’s Winner?

  • John Davern: Benson Kipruto
  • Bryan Deibel: Benson Kipruto
  • Nia Gibson: Benson Kipruto
  • Dan Hall: Benson Kipruto
  • Lauryn Heskin: Benson Kipruto
  • Johnny Pace: Andreas Almgren
  • Mathias Cubillan: Deresa Geleta
  • Katherine Lemish: Andreas Almgren

Who Will Be The Women’s Winner?

  • John Davern: Hellen Obiri
  • Bryan Deibel: Hellen Obiri
  • Nia Gibson: Hellen Obiri
  • Dan Hall: Sheila Chepkirui
  • Lauryn Heskin: Hellen Obiri
  • Johnny Pace: Sheila Chepkirui
  • Mathias Cubillan: Sheila Chepkirui
  • Katherine Lemish: Hellen Obiri

Who Will Be The Top American Man?

  • John Davern: Zouhair Talbi
  • Bryan Deibel: Conner Mantz
  • Nia Gibson: Zouhair Talbi
  • Dan Hall: Conner Mantz
  • Lauryn Heskin: Conner Mantz
  • Johnny Pace: Conner Mantz
  • Mathias Cubillan: Conner Mantz
  • Katherine Lemish: Conner Mantz

Who Will Be The Top American Woman?

  • John Davern: Jess McClain
  • Bryan Deibel: Weini Kelati
  • Nia Gibson: Jess McClain
  • Dan Hall: Jess McClain
  • Lauryn Heskin: Jess McClain
  • Johnny Pace: Weini Kelati
  • Mathias Cubillan: Weini Kelati
  • Katherine Lemish: Weini Kelati

Will There Be An American Women’s Course Record?

  • John Davern: No
  • Bryan Deibel: Yes: Weini Kelati, 2:22:10
  • Nia Gibson: No
  • Dan Hall: Yes: Jess McClain, 2:21:45
  • Lauryn Heskin: No
  • Johnny Pace: Yes: Weini Kelati, 2:22:29
  • Mathias Cubillan: No
  • Katherine Lemish: No

What Will The Top Male Debutant’s Place And Time Be?

  • John Davern: Patrick Kiprop, 6th, 2:09:20
  • Bryan Deibel: Andreas Almgren, 2nd, 2:08:10
  • Nia Gibson: Patrick Kiprop, 5th, 2:07:50
  • Dan Hall: Andreas Almgren, 4th, 2:08:40
  • Lauryn Heskin: Andreas Almgren, 3rd, 2:08:15
  • Johnny Pace: Andreas Almgren, 1st, 2:09:30
  • Mathias Cubillan: Andreas Almgren, 2nd, 2:08:32
  • Katherine Lemish: Andreas Almgren, 3rd, 2:08:30

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